Orlando shootings could cost more than $390 million

Mario Perez lives in Miami, but he was in Orlando for a housewarming party Saturday, June 11. After the party, the 34-year-old went to the Pulse nightclub for Latin night.

At 2 a.m., he heard gunshots. Loud. He knew it was real.

“And the minute he started shooting, I got hit from the side, I got grazed by a bullet,” Perez said. “My first instinct was to fall to the floor, that’s what you’re taught to do.”

He heard gunshot after gunshot after gunshot – too many to count. But then there was a brief break in the firing, and Perez ran out the back of the club. He hid inside the kitchen of a nearby 7-Eleven until police and paramedics showed up. He was taken to Orlando Regional Medical Center, and was at the emergency room from 3 a.m. until 8 a.m.

TOPSHOT - Police stand behind a crime scene tape near the mass shooting at the Pulse nightclub on in Orlando, Florida on June 12, 2016. A somber President Barack Obama expressed grief and outrage at the "horrific massacre" of 50 late-night revelers at an Orlando gay club, branding it an act of terror and hate. / AFP / Mandel Ngan (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images)

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The gunshot wound on his side is purple and swollen, and he has nerve damage from the bullet fragment. He cut his elbow from glass on the floor of the nightclub and needed six stitches. Perez doesn’t know how much bills coming from specialists, X-rays and tests might cost him. But his bill from Orlando Regional Medical Center’s emergency department is $20,000.

“$20,000,” Perez said. “That’s the quote, that’s what they told me.”

Perez has no health insurance. He’s working for a temp agency right now and doesn’t have the money to be seen by a doctor for follow-up care in Miami.

So just how much will the Pulse nightclub shooting cost all of the victims? It’s a difficult, if not impossible question to answer right now. At last check, 56 people had been brought to the hospital, including three patients who spent two weeks in the intensive care unit, and one patient who is still in the hospital in critical condition.

MIAMI, FL - MARCH 22: Marche Curry (L), who is a college student and unable to afford insurance, is examined by Dr. Nadine Altidor during a routine checkup at the Jessie Trice Center for Community Health clinic on March 22, 2012 in Miami, Florida. Starting on March 26, 2012 the arguments begin on the Affordable Care Act before the U.S. Supreme Court. The Act, which was set into law by U.S. President Barack Obama, helps many in need of health care and it also gives grant money to fund the Jessie Trice Center for Community Health clinic, which in turn helps people like Marche Curry who would otherwise not have access to affordable health care. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

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Embry Howell, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute, a think tank in Washington, D.C., studied the average cost of a gunshot victim in 2010. Using that benchmark, she estimated the hospital costs from the Pulse shooting will be about $1 million.

“And I would imagine that would be an underestimate,” Howell said.

Howell said many of the victims may be in the same boat as Mario Perez: uninsured.

“They’re young, primarily Latino and living in Florida,” she said, a state that has not expanded Medicaid to its population.

“My guess would be you have a high rate of uninsured,” she concluded.

Ted Miller, a researcher with the Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, has been studying the cost (PDF) of firearm injuries for more than two decades. He used the 2011 shooting of former U.S. Rep. Gabby Giffords and 18 others in Arizona to make what he calls a conservative estimate: $4 to $7 million in medical costs and mental health costs for victims and survivors of people who died.

Ray Rivera, a DJ at Pulse Orlando nightclub, is consoled by a friend outside of the Orlando Police Department after a shooting that killed at least 50 people and injured 53 on Sunday, June 12.

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That’s lifetime medical costs for the survivors, the costs of surgery and rehab – but it doesn’t count long-term costs for those who are severely injured.

“They said some time ago that there were six people in ICU who would have longtime, serious consequences,” Miller said. “And my guess is most of those folks will have traumatic brain injuries that will have continuing lifetime care.”

Miller also makes a broader estimate beyond just the medical costs. That includes the cost of the police response, the cost to employers – and the dollar value of those 49 lost lives.

“I estimate that the total cost of the Orlando shooting is around $385 to $390 million,” Miller said. “To put that in context, on that same day, the cost of other gunshot wounds in the U.S. was probably about $600 million. So about 1? times the cost of the Orlando incident. That tells you that there are a lot of people killed and injured by firearms every day in this country,” he said. And, he explains, “Suicide deaths account for the largest share of gun violence costs.”

Miller’s $385 million estimate doesn’t include the cost of mental health counseling for people who were in the club but not physically shot – and friends and family of those there. And then there’s the cost of fear: people being afraid to go out to a dance club, or maybe skipping a visit to the theme parks.

Orlando Regional received 44 of the shooting victims. A hospital spokeswoman said some patients have insurance coverage, some don’t. The hospital is going to look for payment sources from the community or the state, such as victim funds that are raising money across the country. But she said the hospital expects unreimbursed costs of more than $5 million.

Pulse shooting victim Mario Perez is calculating his personal costs. He’s worried he’s going to lose his job. He’s anxious knowing millions of dollars have been raised to help victims, but his bills are arriving now. He started his own GoFundMe campaign, but it’s only raised about $600.

“As long as it gets covered, I’m going to be fine,” Perez said. “If they don’t cover it, I’m stuck in a hole. I don’t know what I’m going to be able to do if they don’t assist me.”